tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5273077195457377371.post3202299308381365846..comments2014-08-17T18:58:47.464-04:00Comments on Dreambound: 4-Pc Resto T10 "bug fix"Kaehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16164718601021220108noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5273077195457377371.post-89899551598649296272010-01-06T02:15:15.457-05:002010-01-06T02:15:15.457-05:00Friendly reminder from the math-aholic:
Probabili...Friendly reminder from the math-aholic:<br /><br />Probability of an event occurring on several successive attempts isn't simply the sum of the probability of that event occurring on one attempt. Think about flipping coins: if I flip two coins, the probability of getting one heads isn't 1/2 + 1/2 = 1; it's actually 3/4.<br /><br />What you actually want is the product of the probability that the event doesn't occur on any of the successive attempts: if there are 6 ticks in a rejuv, and each tick has a 49/50 chance of not spawning a new rejuv, then there's a 1 - (49/50)^6 = 11.4% chance that you spawn at least one novel rejuv. Some of that probability applies to multiple rejuvs spawning from a single one that's cast, while most applies to exactly one new rejuv spawning. <br /><br />Maybe you're already doing this and just rounding - the values turn out to work all the same for the rest of your discussion. But, if thinking about only half of the ticks, or getting a whole lot more in a row, it's good to keep in mind that the odds get less and less impressive. For instance, after 34 ticks there's a 50.3% chance that there still hasn't been a single novel spawn of rejuv; another 34 ticks brings the odds of no novel spawns down to 25.3%, but that's still roughly 1/4th of the time.<br /><br />Here's to hoping druids have the favor of the RNG gods >.> I do wish there was better news for druids - is rocket-bear still enough to compensate?<br /><br />Cheers!Theladashttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02882008381356231060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5273077195457377371.post-75864115529156855842010-01-04T16:51:01.767-05:002010-01-04T16:51:01.767-05:00I'm pretty sure it's possible, especially ...I'm pretty sure it's possible, especially with 25-man gear, to haste-cap and still get 4-pc T10. I did some rough math earlier this morning and came up with about 810 haste rating just off the i251 ten-man loot and badge gear (including spruce vest, of course :) ). It just will take some time, given the number of badges involved. I agree that the chest is the best place to go offkit of the 4, since it represents such a large amount of haste.<br /><br />...and hey, if we get desperate, there's always that melee haste trinket... haha.Kaehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16164718601021220108noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5273077195457377371.post-64842622204126781112010-01-04T16:39:50.896-05:002010-01-04T16:39:50.896-05:00I used my first 60 badges to get the trinket, beca...I used my first 60 badges to get the trinket, because I was still using Jetze's Bell and Sif's. I never managed to get a Solace. Managed to snag a Sliver of Pure Ice in 10 man. Felt like I'd "wasted" my 60 badges because I wanted the Abacus in 25 man.. but I think the competition will be high, so I'll wait for a while. Sliver/Dust will serve me well for now.<br /><br />I think I'm going to pick up the cloth haste belt next (yum), and then the Spruce and Fir chest. Both are on my BiS list, and I don't care much for the T10 stuff anyway. Rather than "upgrade" to T10 immediately, I might wait until I get some tokens - that way I can effecitvely skip straight to the upgraded version (I love the new token upgrade system).<br /><br /><br />I think I've decided on 4 pieces of T10 (eventually), but I need to check what haste that will bring me to, down the track. If it's too much of a haste hit I'll adjust with other pieces. Luckily, the 4pc bonus never appealed to me, so I don't care if I break it.<br /><br />Ultimately, I want to get Revitalize back, but if I'm stuck with CF a bit longer, it's not the end of the world. Hopefully I won't need to, though.Keevahttp://treebarkjacket.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5273077195457377371.post-91495709321085673682010-01-04T13:41:47.611-05:002010-01-04T13:41:47.611-05:00I have picked up the gloves so far, which replaced...I have picked up the gloves so far, which replaced my T9 with their crit bonus. I've been trying to decide if I should wait for the new VoA boss for the legs, or if I should buy those as my next badge upgrade--the irony is, the 251 T10 legs have less haste than the 245 T9.<br /><br />I figure it will take a lot of time regardless to earn up the badges (particularly without running ICC25) to buy a full set of T10, and in that time, I'll want to pick up offkit pieces. Eventually, heroic mode will be released, and then it'll be a whole 'nother "upgrade to the higher iLevel, or keep the 4pc bonus?" question.<br /><br />And then we'll level to 85 and it won't matter anymore. :DKaehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16164718601021220108noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5273077195457377371.post-25499171574372027892010-01-04T13:36:05.445-05:002010-01-04T13:36:05.445-05:00Heh. I've been sitting on badges, not purchas...Heh. I've been sitting on badges, not purchasing a lick of gear until they had this sorted one way or the other.<br /><br />I think I will wait until someone has some difinative data on if it's "unbugged" or not before spending anything.<br /><br />You are totally right about the haste though. I'm not sure I can afford to lose some of the haste pieces I have just to pick up tier items. I just don't get why they keep putting so much crit on our set gear, and least with non-set items I feel like we get the choice on which stats we'd like to optimize. =(fallingleavesandwingshttp://fallingleavesandwings.wordpress.com/noreply@blogger.com